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245 markets · Technology

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Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

49% Yes 52% No
Technology · $5.1k Vol · 12d left
LIVE
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?

Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?

12% Yes 89% No
Technology · $6.4k Vol · 12d left
LIVE
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

28% Yes 73% No
Technology · $601.3 Vol · 196d left
LIVE
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

42% Yes 58% No
Technology · $94k Vol · 196d left
LIVE
Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?

1% Yes 99% No
Technology · $1k Vol · 43d left
LIVE
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?

29% Yes 71% No
Technology · $719.3 Vol · 12d left
LIVE
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

9% Yes 92% No
Technology · $575.8 Vol · 196d left
LIVE
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

9% Yes 92% No
Technology · $555.2 Vol · 196d left
LIVE
New Half-Life game by June 30?

New Half-Life game by June 30?

4% Yes 96% No
Technology · $4.7k Vol · 12d left
LIVE
Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?

0% Yes 100% No
Technology · $747 Vol · 43d left
LIVE
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

1% Yes 99% No
Technology · $93.6k Vol · 12d left
LIVE
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

14% Yes 87% No
Technology · $7.9m Vol · 196d left
LIVE
Will ECDSA.fail get at least 40% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?

Will ECDSA.fail get at least 40% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?

100% Yes 0% No
Technology · $4.7k Vol · 12d left
LIVE
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

0% Yes 100% No
Technology · $7.1k Vol · 196d left
LIVE
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

0% Yes 100% No
Technology · $883.3 Vol · 12d left
LIVE
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

26% Yes 74% No
Technology · $95.4k Vol · 5d left
LIVE
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?

Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?

4% Yes 96% No
Technology · $43.8k Vol · 12d left
LIVE
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

0% Yes 100% No
Technology · $9.5k Vol · 43d left
LIVE
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

1% Yes 99% No
Technology · $7.3k Vol · 13d left
LIVE
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?

Will Walmart acquire TikTok?

1% Yes 99% No
Technology · $85.3k Vol · 196d left
LIVE
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?

0% Yes 100% No
Technology · $783.7 Vol · 43d left
LIVE
Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

0% Yes 100% No
Technology · $721.4 Vol · 12d left
LIVE
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

55% Yes 45% No
Technology · $9.7k Vol · 9d left
LIVE
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026

5% Yes 95% No
Technology · $8.4k Vol · 12d left